12 questions today across 6 categories
US politics
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Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Traders on Polymarket give it about seven chances in ten, down one point this week.
If yes An election-night watch party kit with printable scorecards and a generic ballot tracker suits either outcome.
on Polymarket -
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Traders on Polymarket give it about even odds, with the share unchanged this week.
If yes A printable world-elections chart or a set of global civics worksheets can be ready for the result.
on Polymarket -
Will Democrats win control of both the Senate and the House in the 2026 midterms?
Traders on Polymarket give it about three chances in five, up three points this week.
If yes A midterm watch party printable with tally sheets and a generic results tracker fits either outcome.
on Polymarket -
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US presidential election?
Traders on Polymarket give it about one chance in five, down one point this week.
If yes A long-range election planner or a printable countdown calendar offers a product for the slow build to the next race.
on Polymarket
World
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Will shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz return to normal by December 31?
Traders on Polymarket give it about one chance in four, up five points this week.
If yes A shipping-route wall map or a supply-chain logbook gives makers a product tied to the flow of global trade.
on Polymarket -
Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize?
Traders on Polymarket give it about one chance in eight, up five points this week.
If yes A peace-prize watch party printable with a generic laureate tracker can be ready for the announcement.
on Polymarket -
Will Kanye West perform live in Russia by October 31?
Traders on Polymarket give it about one chance in seven, down one point this week.
If yes A concert-countdown printable or a gig-night journal gives makers a product for the live-music season.
on Polymarket
Economy
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Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates by a quarter point after its October 2026 meeting?
Traders on Polymarket give it about two chances in three, up 16 points this week.
If yes A printable rate-watch tracker or a set of small-business budget worksheets can be ready for either the rate rise or the hold.
on Polymarket -
Will the United States enter a recession by the end of 2026?
Traders on Polymarket give it about one chance in nine, up two points this week.
If yes A household budget printable or a small-business cash-flow tracker helps makers serve readers planning ahead.
on Polymarket
Crypto
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Will the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act be signed into law in 2026?
Traders on Polymarket give it about one chance in fourteen, down one point this week.
If yes A plain-language guide to pending legislation or a printable bill-tracker sheet serves readers following the debate.
on Polymarket
Tech and AI
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Will the president rename artificial intelligence by September 30?
Traders on Polymarket give it about one chance in four, up 15 points this week.
If yes A tech-glossary printable or a set of explainer cards about artificial intelligence suits the announcement season.
on Polymarket
Movies, TV and music
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Will the opening weekend box office for "Primetime" reach at least 22 million dollars?
Traders on Polymarket give it about three chances in five, up 30 points this week.
If yes A movie-night printable with a box-office guessing sheet and snack labels suits the opening weekend.
on Polymarket
Crowd forecasts from public prediction markets; nothing here is betting advice.
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